How Might Climate Change Affect the DWTX?
How might this change in Earth's temperature affect the DWTX?
The average annual Texas surface temperature in 2036 is expected to be 3.0 °F warmer than the 1950-1999 average and 1.8 °F warmer than the 1991-2020 average. The number of 100-degree days at typical stations is expected to nearly double by 2036 compared to 2001-2020, with higher frequency of 100-degree days in urban areas.
Weather and climate drivers of wildfire risk are projected to increase the risk of wildfires throughout the state, primarily due to increased rates of drying and increased fuel load. The increase in wildfire risk may not be as large in far West Texas where rising temperatures and decreasing precipitation may overcome the carbon dioxide fertilization effect and lead to less accumulation of fuels.
The combination of coastal subsidence and sea level rise is contributing to or driving a general retreat of the Texas coastline, both along the barrier islands and in coastal wetlands. Relative sea level rise is expected to continue at similar average rates in the near future, as reduced groundwater extraction is balanced by accelerating sea level rise. Storm surges from hurricanes will tend to be more severe because of higher relative sea levels, and a possible increase in extreme hurricane intensity may further increase storm surge risk.
The table is from the Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States, published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce, National Ocean Service, February, 2022.
Effects Beyond the DWTX
Climate change is global and will affect some places much more strongly than others. Our neighbors to the west in Arizona and California are already being severely impacted by the continuing drought there that has diminished flow in the Colorado River to historic lows. Forty million people and a large part of the nation's agriculture depend on the flow of that river. If this continues, according to forecasts, many of those people will be forced to migrate and some will come here to Texas, in a reversal of the Dust Bowl migration of 90 years ago. As people called to respond to human misery, how will we help?
All of the United States will be affected, as shown in the paragraphs below from NASA.
U.S. Regional Effects
The Natural Resources Defense Council identified the following effects which will be felt in varying degrees across the Earth. Go to the NRDC to read more detail.
Although perhaps far from us, all people of Earth are our neighbors, whom we are commanded to love.